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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

San Francisco

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:228.0
Current RPI:228
Expected SOS:241
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-4
Current OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC RPI:260
Expected OOC SOS:340


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%228.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Francisco.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzA75-78W100%0.0
11-16Rice (279.0)CUSAH80-54W100%0.0
11-19Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA78-71L0%0.0
11-21UC Riverside (267.0)BWH58-57W100%0.0
11-25UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH61-68L0%0.0
11-29Delaware St. (345.0)MEACH67-47W100%0.0
12-1Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH77-81L0%0.0
12-4Montana (145.0)BSkyA82-50L0%0.0
12-7Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH65-61W100%0.0
12-18Coppin St. (326.0)MEACH96-93W100%0.0
12-21Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA74-52L0%0.0
12-23Pacific (268.0)WCCH89-76W100%0.0
12-31Portland (249.0)WCCH107-95W100%0.0
1-2Gonzaga (46.0)WCCH94-102L0%0.0
1-7San Diego (302.0)WCCA65-73W100%0.0
1-9BYU (76.0)WCCA102-92L0%0.0
1-14Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCH83-87L0%0.0
1-16Pepperdine (129.0)WCCH84-98L0%0.0
1-21Santa Clara (251.0)WCCA61-74W100%0.0
1-28Portland (249.0)WCCA76-87W100%0.0
1-30Gonzaga (46.0)WCCA86-48L0%0.0
2-6Santa Clara (251.0)WCCH89-86W100%0.0
2-11BYU (76.0)WCCH89-114L0%0.0
2-13San Diego (302.0)WCCH68-51W100%0.0
2-18Pepperdine (129.0)WCCA72-82W100%0.0
2-20Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCA100-87L0%0.0
2-25Pacific (268.0)WCCA79-70L0%0.0
2-27Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCH72-84L0%0.0
3-5Pepperdine (129.0)WCCN90-86L0%0.0